crypto-trend-v1
Donchian/Turtle trend-follower on daily bars: buys a new 20-day high and exits on a new 10-day low or its ATR stop. No take-profit — the point is to let a winner run. A widening profit-lock trail (per-account switch, on for live-1 and paper-main) arms at +15% and keeps a stop 5% under the peak, widening to 15% from a +30% peak and 25% from +60%; it moves only on the daily close (00:00 UTC), so intraday spikes can't shake a position out.
Data ⚠
Universe via crypto-liquid (Coinbase) · orders at Alpaca
Built 2026-07-19 · updated 2026-09-28
Open positions
0
Closed trades
20
avg 12.4d held
Currently deployed
$0.00
0 open position(s)
Total deployed (all-time)
$12,534.29
20 closed + 0 open
Total P&L
$438.44
Win rate
+40.0%
Wilson low +21.9%
Expectancy
-0.80%
Profit factor
1.87
net ≈ $87 for every $100 in losses
Open positions
No open positions.
Closed trades
full journal →| Exit | Symbol | Lev | P&L % | P&L $ | Value | P&L / $ Deployed | Reason | Held |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All 20 trades · 40% win | -0.80% avg | $438.44 | $12,534 | +3.50% weighted | ||||
| 2026-10-08 17:00:09 | AVAX/USD | -9.70% | -$50.05 | $516 | -9.70% | signal_exit | 16.9d | |
| 2026-10-08 17:00:08 | ADA/USD | -6.88% | -$35.38 | $514 | -6.88% | signal_exit | 17.1d | |
| 2026-10-08 05:00:07 | BTC/USD | -1.75% | -$8.97 | $512 | -1.75% | signal_exit | 16.8d | |
| 2026-10-08 03:00:08 | LINK/USD | -10.30% | -$12.48 | $121 | -10.30% | signal_exit | 8.9d | |
| 2026-10-07 07:00:05 | ETH/USD | -0.84% | -$4.27 | $510 | -0.84% | signal_exit | 17.5d | |
| 2026-10-02 21:00:42 | XRP/USD | -8.82% | -$45.27 | $513 | -8.82% | signal_exit | 9.5d | |
| 2026-10-02 21:00:42 | DOGE/USD | -8.24% | -$42.48 | $515 | -8.24% | signal_exit | 10.5d | |
| 2026-10-02 02:33:47 | BCH/USD | -11.33% | -$58.33 | $515 | -11.33% | stop_loss | 8.7d | |
| 2026-09-29 03:00:08 | UNI/USD | -11.59% | -$59.81 | $516 | -11.59% | signal_exit | 6.6d | |
| 2026-09-29 01:19:48 | LTC/USD | +5.74% | $29.45 | $513 | +5.74% | trailing_stop | 5.8d | |
| 2026-09-23 14:13:34 | PEPE/USD | -13.26% | -$64.66 | $488 | -13.26% | stop_loss | 1.3d | |
| 2026-09-21 17:55:25 | AVAX/USD | +12.26% | $62.62 | $511 | +12.26% | stop_loss | 1.6d | |
| 2026-09-19 21:17:59 | UNI/USD | +11.70% | $59.60 | $509 | +11.70% | manual | 2.2d | |
| 2026-09-19 05:46:13 | ARB/USD | +0.03% | $0.16 | $511 | +0.03% | manual | 0.9d | |
| 2026-09-15 18:45:41 | XRP/USD | -10.83% | -$55.67 | $514 | -10.83% | stop_loss | 0.9d | |
| 2026-09-15 14:42:53 | FIL/USD | -13.55% | -$69.49 | $513 | -13.55% | stop_loss | 1.1d | |
| 2026-09-13 09:24:49 | ETH/USD | +28.52% | $391.70 | $1,374 | +28.52% | stop_loss | 53.8d | |
| 2026-09-11 12:30:19 | BTC/USD | +14.29% | $249.18 | $1,744 | +14.29% | stop_loss | 51.9d | |
| 2026-09-05 21:49:00 | DOGE/USD | +12.55% | $105.07 | $837 | +12.55% | stop_loss | 16.1d | |
| 2026-08-20 18:58:11 | DOGE/USD | +6.03% | $47.51 | $788 | +6.03% | stop_loss | 0.8d | |