# Stop-loss recovery — qsr — 2026-09-28

Read-only research (`pnpm stop-loss-recovery qsr 20`). For every trade the stop closed, what the price did next.
Horizon capped at **20 trading days** past each exit. Bars: daily, split-adjusted, feed `iex`.

**Not evidence for a parameter change on its own.** "Held" assumes no exit rule and no capital cost, "best" assumes perfect hindsight,
and trades cluster by symbol — read the per-symbol table before the totals. See the header comment in `src/scripts/stopLossRecovery.ts`.

### All stop-losses

- Trades: **359** across **74** symbol(s)
- Realized at the stop: median **-5.74%**, total **-$7279.83**
- Held instead: median **-6.40%**, total **-$7598.85**
- **Dollar effect of never stopping: -$319.02**
- Better off held: 159/359 (44%) — but actually PROFITABLE held: 33/359 (9%)
- Could have exited green at some point (hindsight upper bound): 78/359 (22%)
- Price regained the entry (intraday high): 83/359 (23%)

### Strategy: qsr

- Trades: **359** across **74** symbol(s)
- Realized at the stop: median **-5.74%**, total **-$7279.83**
- Held instead: median **-6.40%**, total **-$7598.85**
- **Dollar effect of never stopping: -$319.02**
- Better off held: 159/359 (44%) — but actually PROFITABLE held: 33/359 (9%)
- Could have exited green at some point (hindsight upper bound): 78/359 (22%)
- Price regained the entry (intraday high): 83/359 (23%)

## By symbol

| Symbol | Strategy | n | Last exit | Bars after | Stopped at | +1d | +5d | +10d | +20d | Held | Best | Regained | Stop $ | Held $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEP | qsr | 6 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -4.20% | -4.64% | – | – | – | -4.40% | -4.00% | 0/6 | -$283.67 | -$355.89 |
| AJG | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-21 | 5 | -5.66% | -8.69% | -9.79% | – | – | -9.79% | -8.45% | 0/2 | -$28.59 | -$49.42 |
| AON | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-09 | 13 | -5.95% | -6.44% | -8.63% | -14.39% | – | -16.96% | -5.31% | 0/3 | -$56.53 | -$170.70 |
| APO | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -5.64% | -3.96% | – | – | – | -5.17% | -3.96% | 0/3 | -$21.82 | -$22.19 |
| ARM | qsr | 9 | 2026-09-01 | 18 | -8.15% | -8.46% | +3.05% | -4.79% | – | +11.73% | +29.93% | 9/9 | -$251.08 | +$348.84 |
| AXP | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -3.55% | -3.80% | -6.71% | – | – | -5.57% | -2.99% | 0/2 | -$22.98 | -$35.44 |
| BA | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -4.60% | -6.25% | -4.90% | – | – | -9.78% | -4.31% | 0/1 | -$9.66 | -$20.54 |
| BAM | qsr | 7 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -5.57% | -5.03% | -5.37% | – | – | -8.21% | -3.29% | 0/7 | -$18.39 | -$26.09 |
| BCS | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -4.04% | -4.12% | – | – | – | -2.75% | -2.63% | 0/5 | -$8.24 | -$6.26 |
| BKNG | qsr | 9 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -7.10% | -9.42% | – | – | – | -7.35% | -5.68% | 0/9 | -$143.29 | -$234.70 |
| BKR | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -6.23% | -4.85% | -2.37% | – | – | -2.88% | -2.37% | 0/2 | -$7.41 | -$3.43 |
| BN | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-15 | 9 | -4.30% | -4.41% | -2.35% | – | – | -5.91% | -1.97% | 0/5 | -$8.12 | -$10.03 |
| BTI | qsr | 6 | 2026-09-09 | 13 | -4.98% | -4.13% | -1.97% | -2.41% | – | -2.54% | +0.10% | 6/6 | -$300.75 | -$151.43 |
| BX | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -6.57% | -3.76% | -8.49% | – | – | -11.03% | -2.91% | 0/3 | -$20.89 | -$28.26 |
| CARR | qsr | 15 | 2026-09-18 | 6 | -5.55% | -3.68% | -0.55% | – | – | -1.40% | -0.55% | 5/15 | -$61.73 | -$39.42 |
| CDNS | qsr | 9 | 2026-09-01 | 18 | -6.40% | -8.21% | -14.75% | -16.17% | – | -2.91% | -2.34% | 0/9 | -$191.19 | -$93.19 |
| CMCSA | qsr | 10 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -5.93% | -5.66% | – | – | – | -5.66% | -5.66% | 0/10 | -$21.26 | -$34.09 |
| COF | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -4.54% | -1.61% | – | – | – | -2.70% | -1.61% | 0/3 | -$28.18 | -$23.62 |
| COHR | qsr | 13 | 2026-09-14 | 10 | -8.89% | -12.21% | +3.95% | -6.18% | – | -6.18% | +3.95% | 13/13 | -$363.92 | -$225.26 |
| CRH | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -5.50% | -3.67% | – | – | – | -6.50% | -3.67% | 0/5 | -$23.36 | -$29.09 |
| CSCO | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-22 | 4 | -4.52% | -3.02% | – | – | – | -2.67% | -2.55% | 0/4 | -$20.04 | -$13.93 |
| CVS | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-17 | 7 | -5.68% | -7.27% | -11.23% | – | – | -6.71% | -6.71% | 0/5 | -$132.11 | -$153.65 |
| DAL | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-01 | 18 | -5.81% | -4.51% | -3.72% | -4.83% | – | +1.15% | +3.76% | 3/3 | -$14.23 | +$3.05 |
| DASH | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -7.45% | -7.59% | – | – | – | -10.25% | -4.73% | 0/1 | -$5.03 | -$6.91 |
| EBAY | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-08 | 14 | -6.82% | -3.47% | +0.75% | +1.97% | – | -0.91% | +5.37% | 3/3 | -$125.06 | +$0.14 |
| ENB | qsr | 10 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -3.58% | -3.96% | – | – | – | -3.96% | -3.96% | 0/10 | -$286.40 | -$524.07 |
| ETN | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-14 | 10 | -8.60% | -7.66% | +2.48% | +3.37% | – | +3.37% | +4.17% | 3/3 | -$77.58 | +$29.44 |
| ETR | qsr | 8 | 2026-08-21 | 20 | -3.86% | -1.87% | -1.96% | -0.54% | -5.81% | -5.81% | +0.62% | 2/8 | -$375.30 | -$871.06 |
| F | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -6.32% | -8.39% | – | – | – | -9.08% | -7.63% | 0/2 | -$1.74 | -$2.50 |
| FAST | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-10 | 12 | -4.19% | -1.65% | -1.92% | +1.18% | – | +0.18% | +1.72% | 2/2 | -$4.21 | +$0.09 |
| FDX | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -4.79% | -4.05% | – | – | – | -4.69% | -4.05% | 0/4 | -$58.46 | -$84.00 |
| GE | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-15 | 9 | -5.34% | -3.98% | -2.12% | – | – | -2.31% | +0.27% | 2/4 | -$144.12 | -$215.44 |
| GS | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -5.16% | -3.57% | – | – | – | -4.88% | -3.57% | 0/2 | -$100.36 | -$100.48 |
| HDB | qsr | 6 | 2026-09-09 | 13 | -5.36% | -6.84% | -4.41% | -2.64% | – | -3.94% | +1.06% | 2/6 | -$331.27 | -$386.27 |
| HON | qsr | 8 | 2026-08-24 | 20 | -7.92% | -7.20% | -8.05% | -10.35% | -8.83% | -8.83% | -5.01% | 0/8 | -$386.06 | -$405.85 |
| HWM | qsr | 18 | 2026-08-31 | 19 | -6.42% | -5.37% | -14.00% | -16.56% | – | -15.11% | -3.25% | 0/18 | -$380.56 | -$824.97 |
| IBKR | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -7.27% | -3.17% | +0.35% | – | – | -3.42% | +2.14% | 4/4 | -$24.58 | -$14.30 |
| IMO | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -4.60% | -2.75% | – | – | – | -2.75% | -2.75% | 0/1 | -$9.10 | -$5.45 |
| INTC | qsr | 1 | 2026-08-24 | 20 | -8.11% | -5.70% | -3.46% | +12.69% | +33.61% | +33.61% | +33.61% | 1/1 | -$7.52 | +$31.16 |
| INTU | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -8.06% | -10.25% | – | – | – | -14.14% | -10.25% | 0/5 | -$112.63 | -$195.84 |
| ITUB | qsr | 5 | 2026-08-20 | 20 | -5.28% | -1.19% | -0.59% | +8.66% | +8.33% | +8.33% | +10.18% | 5/5 | -$61.20 | +$94.13 |
| JCI | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-14 | 10 | -4.87% | -4.00% | +0.77% | +3.95% | – | +3.95% | +4.25% | 1/1 | -$7.01 | +$5.69 |
| KKR | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -6.46% | -3.37% | -4.34% | – | – | -7.02% | -0.74% | 1/4 | -$23.98 | -$28.09 |
| LHX | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -4.77% | -5.33% | – | – | – | -5.33% | -5.33% | 0/2 | -$23.76 | -$26.52 |
| LRCX | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-14 | 10 | -8.11% | -9.05% | +1.44% | +5.88% | – | +5.88% | +5.88% | 3/3 | -$53.81 | +$37.61 |
| MELI | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -6.43% | -7.64% | – | – | – | -7.64% | -7.64% | 0/1 | -$6.48 | -$7.70 |
| MO | qsr | 8 | 2026-08-12 | 20 | -5.92% | -4.70% | -3.27% | +1.22% | +0.76% | +0.76% | +1.87% | 8/8 | -$396.12 | -$58.29 |
| MS | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -5.07% | -4.26% | – | – | – | -5.16% | -4.26% | 0/5 | -$46.90 | -$50.11 |
| NEE | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-21 | 5 | -3.30% | -3.96% | -8.70% | – | – | -8.70% | -3.96% | 0/4 | -$10.97 | -$31.30 |
| NGG | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -2.98% | -2.84% | – | – | – | -2.56% | -2.56% | 0/3 | -$9.61 | -$8.27 |
| NKE | qsr | 18 | 2026-09-15 | 9 | -5.93% | -7.07% | -6.32% | – | – | -7.40% | -5.58% | 0/18 | -$197.09 | -$386.41 |
| NVO | qsr | 9 | 2026-09-21 | 5 | -5.84% | -9.47% | -11.99% | – | – | -11.99% | -9.47% | 0/9 | -$23.29 | -$54.91 |
| NXPI | qsr | 8 | 2026-08-03 | 20 | -8.80% | -4.07% | -5.72% | -6.07% | -9.30% | -9.30% | -3.07% | 0/8 | -$450.65 | -$593.68 |
| ORLY | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -4.48% | -3.15% | -2.02% | – | – | -1.69% | -1.62% | 0/2 | -$7.86 | -$2.96 |
| PCAR | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-09 | 13 | -3.94% | -2.71% | -6.14% | -11.03% | – | -11.79% | -2.51% | 0/1 | -$4.96 | -$14.85 |
| PDD | qsr | 10 | 2026-09-09 | 13 | -6.19% | -7.27% | -6.19% | -5.65% | – | -7.52% | -4.30% | 0/10 | -$62.04 | -$75.91 |
| RCL | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -6.08% | -1.01% | – | – | – | -0.42% | +0.55% | 2/4 | -$58.52 | -$34.64 |
| RKLB | qsr | 6 | 2026-08-20 | 20 | -8.08% | -9.14% | -15.48% | -20.12% | -19.16% | -19.16% | -9.14% | 0/6 | -$238.78 | -$562.33 |
| ROK | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-16 | 8 | -4.16% | -4.66% | +0.67% | – | – | +0.46% | +0.93% | 2/2 | -$35.76 | +$3.94 |
| SBUX | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-18 | 6 | -4.69% | -5.54% | -5.55% | – | – | -6.09% | -5.28% | 0/4 | -$19.09 | -$26.18 |
| SE | qsr | 5 | 2026-09-17 | 7 | -7.54% | -6.38% | -7.28% | – | – | -11.18% | -4.53% | 0/5 | -$41.23 | -$59.12 |
| SPG | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-15 | 9 | -3.08% | -3.22% | -1.84% | – | – | -2.44% | -1.84% | 0/2 | -$12.90 | -$10.22 |
| STM | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-01 | 18 | -8.01% | -4.07% | -2.44% | -9.05% | – | -0.90% | +1.03% | 4/4 | -$16.94 | -$1.91 |
| TDG | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-15 | 9 | -4.25% | -4.60% | -1.75% | – | – | -3.01% | -1.40% | 0/2 | -$96.21 | -$69.34 |
| TFC | qsr | 1 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -4.09% | -3.91% | – | – | – | -3.44% | -2.95% | 0/1 | -$4.31 | -$3.63 |
| TRP | qsr | 10 | 2026-09-25 | 1 | -4.17% | -4.47% | – | – | – | -4.47% | -4.47% | 0/10 | -$253.14 | -$455.14 |
| TXN | qsr | 2 | 2026-08-21 | 20 | -8.09% | -10.09% | -10.23% | -10.34% | -6.00% | -6.00% | -6.00% | 0/2 | -$46.60 | -$34.33 |
| UBER | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -6.80% | -6.17% | – | – | – | -7.96% | -5.58% | 0/2 | -$10.02 | -$11.74 |
| UBS | qsr | 4 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -5.07% | -4.60% | – | – | – | -3.46% | -2.20% | 0/4 | -$14.51 | -$11.35 |
| UNH | qsr | 3 | 2026-09-23 | 3 | -5.47% | -4.13% | – | – | – | -3.31% | -3.31% | 0/3 | -$63.40 | -$37.24 |
| UNP | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-21 | 5 | -4.24% | -4.03% | -4.46% | – | – | -4.46% | -3.73% | 0/2 | -$24.22 | -$25.50 |
| URI | qsr | 6 | 2026-09-02 | 17 | -5.72% | -4.84% | -5.32% | -3.89% | – | -0.46% | +0.25% | 2/6 | -$361.05 | -$89.93 |
| VALE | qsr | 2 | 2026-09-24 | 2 | -5.96% | -5.75% | – | – | – | -7.17% | -5.75% | 0/2 | -$1.72 | -$2.07 |
| VST | qsr | 2 | 2026-08-07 | 20 | -9.65% | -5.38% | -1.90% | -9.81% | -1.14% | -1.14% | -1.14% | 0/2 | -$128.26 | -$15.48 |

## Excluded (22)

- UBER (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- UBER (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- UBER (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- UBER (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- NU (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- NU (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- RIO (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- RIO (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- ADBE (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- ADBE (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- SE (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- NU (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- VALE (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- RIO (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- BA (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- NU (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- GLEN.L (qsr, exited 2026-09-22) — no bars returned
- RIO.L (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — no bars returned
- ADBE (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- BA (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- MNST (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet
- NU (qsr, exited 2026-09-28) — stopped too recently — no post-exit bar yet