# QSR config sweep — account `live-1` — 2026-10-03

160 real QSR buy events (closed + open, US tickers only), replayed from their real entry price. Stop = live rule (min(3×ATR%, 10%)). Row 1 is the live config.

> Daily bars from the day AFTER entry, stop-first on a bar spanning both, open trades marked to last close. Buys are not independent (same-day entries move together) — a filter that only removes a handful of trades is noise. Research only.

| Config | Buys taken | Hit TP | Stopped | Still open | Win % (resolved) | Avg %/buy | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP 8% (live) | 160 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 47% | -0.98% | -156.61% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥2% | 150 | 47 | 48 | 55 | 49% | -0.77% | -116.01% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥2.5% | 119 | 44 | 37 | 38 | 54% | -0.47% | -56.24% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥3% | 90 | 37 | 30 | 23 | 55% | -0.48% | -43.06% |
| TP 8% (live), >MA200 | 83 | 33 | 21 | 29 | 61% | +0.77% | +63.95% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥2%, >MA200 | 81 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 62% | +0.87% | +70.84% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥2.5%, >MA200 | 63 | 32 | 14 | 17 | 70% | +1.67% | +105.17% |
| TP 8% (live), ATR≥3%, >MA200 | 52 | 29 | 12 | 11 | 71% | +1.97% | +102.40% |
| TP 5% | 160 | 65 | 44 | 51 | 60% | -0.71% | -114.40% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥2% | 150 | 65 | 38 | 47 | 63% | -0.49% | -73.80% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥2.5% | 119 | 58 | 29 | 32 | 67% | -0.33% | -39.33% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥3% | 90 | 50 | 22 | 18 | 69% | -0.08% | -7.40% |
| TP 5%, >MA200 | 83 | 38 | 21 | 24 | 64% | -0.16% | -13.21% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥2%, >MA200 | 81 | 38 | 20 | 23 | 66% | -0.08% | -6.32% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥2.5%, >MA200 | 63 | 36 | 14 | 13 | 72% | +0.44% | +27.53% |
| TP 5%, ATR≥3%, >MA200 | 52 | 32 | 12 | 8 | 73% | +0.61% | +31.51% |
| TP =stop | 160 | 43 | 53 | 64 | 45% | -0.59% | -95.02% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥2% | 150 | 43 | 47 | 60 | 48% | -0.36% | -54.42% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥2.5% | 119 | 39 | 37 | 43 | 51% | -0.05% | -5.53% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥3% | 90 | 32 | 30 | 28 | 52% | +0.08% | +7.63% |
| TP =stop, >MA200 | 83 | 29 | 21 | 33 | 58% | +1.20% | +99.26% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥2%, >MA200 | 81 | 29 | 20 | 32 | 59% | +1.31% | +106.14% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥2.5%, >MA200 | 63 | 28 | 14 | 21 | 67% | +2.25% | +141.51% |
| TP =stop, ATR≥3%, >MA200 | 52 | 25 | 12 | 15 | 68% | +2.68% | +139.36% |

## Buy-check thresholds (TP 5%)

> relVol here is the PRIOR full day's volume ÷ 20-day average; the live check reads today's partial volume at trigger time, so live thresholds are not directly comparable.

| Config | Buys taken | Hit TP | Stopped | Still open | Win % (resolved) | Avg %/buy | Total % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no other check | 160 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 47% | -0.98% | -156.61% |
| relVol≥0.5 | 158 | 45 | 54 | 59 | 45% | -1.09% | -172.61% |
| relVol≥0.8 | 132 | 39 | 41 | 52 | 49% | -0.83% | -109.34% |
| relVol≥1 | 91 | 22 | 34 | 35 | 39% | -2.02% | -183.81% |
| relVol≥1.2 | 72 | 17 | 26 | 29 | 40% | -1.95% | -140.40% |
| MA50 slope≥-1.5% | 137 | 37 | 47 | 53 | 44% | -1.16% | -159.01% |
| MA50 slope≥-0.5% | 100 | 25 | 36 | 39 | 41% | -1.57% | -156.75% |
| MA50 slope≥0% | 72 | 16 | 30 | 26 | 35% | -2.46% | -176.96% |
| MA50 slope≥0.5% | 49 | 10 | 25 | 14 | 29% | -3.35% | -164.03% |
| MA200 slope≥0% | 104 | 40 | 26 | 38 | 61% | +0.87% | +90.42% |
| MA200 slope≥0.25% | 99 | 39 | 22 | 38 | 64% | +1.13% | +111.91% |
| ATR≥3%, no other check | 90 | 37 | 30 | 23 | 55% | -0.48% | -43.06% |
| ATR≥3%, relVol≥0.5 | 89 | 36 | 30 | 23 | 55% | -0.57% | -51.06% |
| ATR≥3%, relVol≥0.8 | 76 | 30 | 25 | 21 | 55% | -0.66% | -50.52% |
| ATR≥3%, relVol≥1 | 55 | 18 | 21 | 16 | 46% | -1.92% | -105.40% |
| ATR≥3%, relVol≥1.2 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 44% | -2.01% | -86.62% |
| ATR≥3%, MA50 slope≥-1.5% | 73 | 27 | 24 | 22 | 53% | -0.79% | -57.97% |
| ATR≥3%, MA50 slope≥-0.5% | 55 | 17 | 20 | 18 | 46% | -1.78% | -97.75% |
| ATR≥3%, MA50 slope≥0% | 46 | 12 | 20 | 14 | 38% | -2.85% | -131.18% |
| ATR≥3%, MA50 slope≥0.5% | 35 | 9 | 19 | 7 | 32% | -3.70% | -129.44% |
| ATR≥3%, MA200 slope≥0% | 52 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 73% | +2.41% | +125.39% |
| ATR≥3%, MA200 slope≥0.25% | 50 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 77% | +2.89% | +144.43% |